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国际贸易、FDI和中国全要素生产率下降——基于1952~2006年面板数据的DEA和协整检验
International Trade,FDI and Total Factor Productivity Weakening:DEA and Cointegration based on Panel Data from 1952~2006
【摘要】 本文利用DEA方法测算了1952~2006年27省份的全要素生产率,结果表明,中国全要素生产率呈逐年下降趋势,且改革开放后比改革开放前明显,改革开放后东部地区比中西部地区明显;以1979~2006年27省份面板数据为样本的协整检验结果表明,虽然短期内FDI有助于全要素生产率的提高,但国际贸易和FDI在长期弱化了我国全要素生产率,而且基于误差修正模型的检验还显示国际贸易、FDI同全要素生产率下降构成长期因果关系。
【Abstract】 The paper computes total factor productivity of 27 provinces from 1952~2006 by DEA,which shows that total factor productivity have been declining,and more obvious in East district than Mid & West district after opening up.Based on the panel data of 27 provinces from 1979~2006,the test of panel cointegration shows that,although FDI contributes to total factor productivity in short run,international trade and FDI weakens total factor productivity in long run,and Error Correct Model testing also shows causality from international trade and FDI to total factor productivity’s declining.
- 【文献出处】 数量经济技术经济研究 ,The Journal of Quantitative & Technical Economics , 编辑部邮箱 ,2008年11期
- 【分类号】F224;F752;F832.6
- 【被引频次】255
- 【下载频次】5275