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山东省电力消费和经济发展关系的协整分析
Analysis on Cointegration of Electricity Consumption and Economic Growth in Shandong Province
【摘要】 通过协整理论等现代计量经济学分析方法,利用软件Eviews3.0检验出山东省电力消费和经济发展之间存在长期均衡关系,并依据分析结果给出山东省电力工业的发展相对经济发展具有先导性和超前性,提出山东省电力工业发展需要充分考虑可再生资源的利用,做好电力需求的精确预测,处理好供需矛盾。
【Abstract】 The relationship between electricity demand and economic development has been a hot spot in the China’s macro-economic regulation and control,particularly those in the industrialized countries with economies in transition and the key to advancing period.On such a big economic province,Shandong is a particularly heavy industrialization-intensive area,and the power consumption for economic development plays an important role.Through Cointegration analysis of quantitative method the long-term relationship between Shandong power consumption and its economic development is givenout,and our work can give some suggestions for the electricity supply of Shanddong province.
【Key words】 electricity consumption； gross domestic product； Shandong province； cointegration analysis；
- 【文献出处】 济南大学学报(自然科学版) ,Journal of University of Jinan(Science and Technology) , 编辑部邮箱 ,2008年04期
- 【分类号】F426.61;F127;F224
- 【被引频次】12
- 【下载频次】218