节点文献
山东省国民生产总值预测的灰色模型
A GREY FORECASTING MODEL ON GDP OF SHANDONG
【摘要】 对1996 a至2005 a山东省国民生产总值数据作了分析研究,用灰色理论建立了山东省国民生产总值预测的灰色模型,经检验模型具有较高的精度。运用该模型对2006 a至2010 a山东省国民生产总值作了预测,得出了2009 a山东省国民生产总值将超过3万亿的结论。利用灰色关联度分析了山东省第一、二、三产业对国民生产总值的影响程度。
【Abstract】 The data of Shandong GDP from 1996 to 2005 was analysized.Based on Grey Theory,a Grey Model was constructed to forecast GDP and its precision was highly relative.It can be used to forecast the Shandong GDP from 2006 to 2010 and it was predicted a conclusion that Shandong Province GDP in 2009 will be more than 3 trillion.And with the use of the grey incidence degree,the influent degree of the first,second and third industry of Shandong on GDP can be analyzed efficiently.
- 【文献出处】 山东农业大学学报(自然科学版) ,Journal of Shandong Agricultural University(Natural Science Edition) , 编辑部邮箱 ,2008年02期
- 【分类号】F127;F224
- 【被引频次】15
- 【下载频次】621