【摘要】 农机总动力是反映和评价农业机械化水平的一个重要指标。农机总动力的变化受自然、经济、技术和社会等多种灰色因素影响。为此,借助灰色系统理论,利用浙江省农机总动力的历史数据,建立了GM(1,1)模型预测模型,并据此对浙江省农机总动力进行预测分析,为制定农机动力发展规划提供了依据。更多还原

【Abstract】 Agricultural machinery total power is an important index to reflex and evaluate the level of agricultural mechanization, and influenced by many grey factors such as nature, economy, technology, community etc. According to total power of agriculture machinery data from 1982 to 2003 in Zhejiang Province, the GM (1, 1) model for predicting total power was presented based on the gray system theories. Then, total power of agriculture machinery was from 2004 to 2015 predicted in Zhejiang Province, and it would provide some reference to the development and program for power of agriculture machinery.更多还原