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农业基础设施促进农业生产增长的实证分析
An Empirical Analysis of the Relationship between Rural Infrastructure and Agricultural Production
【摘要】 运用单位根检验、协整检验、格兰杰因果关系检验方法,对1985~2006年农业基础设施中的道路、电力、教育和农业总产值之间的相互关系进行研究,结果发现:农业总产值增长与农业基础设施存在长期稳定的关系,其中农村教育对农业生产的贡献最大;同时农业基础设施是农业总产值增长的单向格兰杰原因,为"十一五"时期政府继续加大农村地区基础设施投资力度、合理选择资金投向提供了科学合理的政策依据。
【Abstract】 This paper analyses the relationship between rural infrastructure investment such as roads electricity,education and the gross output value of agriculture in China from 1985 to 2006 by using unit root test,co-integration test and granger causality test.The result of the analysis shows that there is a long-termed and table relationship between the growth of the gross output value of agriculture and infrastructure,in which education plays the infrastructure had a greatest role in agricultural production.The findings of the study have important policy implications for the goverment.That is,the government should increase investment to a reasonable degree in rural infrastructure in the future.
【Key words】 rural infrastructure; agricultural production; co-integration relationship;
- 【文献出处】 江西农业大学学报 ,Acta Agriculturae Universitatis Jiangxiensis , 编辑部邮箱 ,2008年04期
- 【分类号】F320
- 【被引频次】18
- 【下载频次】568