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采用预测模型预测水库水的藻类生长潜力

Application of forecasting model for algae growth potential forecast of reservoir water

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【作者】 李星何宇飞杨艳玲梁恒李圭白陈牧民关心丽

【Author】 LI Xing1,HE Yu-fei1,YANG Yan-ling1,LIANG Heng2,LI Gui-bai2,CHEN Mu-min3,GUAN Xin-li3(1.School of Civil Engineering and Architecture,Beijing University of Technology,Beijing 100022,China;2.School of Municipal and Environmental Engineering,Harbin Institute of Technology,Harbin 150090,China;3.Kaiping Water Supply Group Co.,Ltd.,Kaiping 529300,China)

【机构】 北京工业大学建筑工程学院哈尔滨工业大学市政环境工程学院开平市供水集团股份有限公司开平市供水集团股份有限公司 北京100022北京100022哈尔滨150090广东开平529300

【摘要】 利用南方某水库原水模拟藻类的原始生长条件,通过探讨水体中初始氮磷浓度与藻类生长潜力之间的相互关系,建立了以初始总氮和总磷浓度为因子的藻类生长潜力回归模型;通过对藻类生物量变化与各种环境因子变化的回归分析,筛选出溶解氧、氨氮和总磷作为影响藻类生物量最显著的变化因子,并以这些变化因子建立了藻类生长速率回归模型.验证结果表明,两个模型的预测值与实测值吻合程度良好,具有较高的准确性和实用性.

【Abstract】 Reservoir water in South China is used to simulate original algae growth condition.The relationship between initial nitrogen and phosphors concentration and algae growth potential is studied.Algae growth potential regression model is established as factors with initial concentration of total nitrogen and total phosphors.The regression analysis is carried out for variable algae numbers and variously environmental factors.Dissolved oxygen,ammonia nitrogen and total phosphors are selected as most obvious variation factors to effect algae biomass.The algae growth rate regression model is established by the variation factors.The verified results show that the forecasting value and the measured value of two models are well accorded.The models are provided with high accuracy and practicability.

【关键词】 藻类预测模型生长潜力生长速率
【Key words】 algaeforecasting modelgrowth potentialgrowth rate
  • 【文献出处】 哈尔滨商业大学学报(自然科学版) ,Journal of Harbin University of Commerce(Natural Sciences Edition) , 编辑部邮箱 ,2008年01期
  • 【分类号】X832
  • 【被引频次】6
  • 【下载频次】357
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