【摘要】 最近20年,性传播疾病的感染率正在快速增长。中国人民大学性社会学研究所于2000年和2006年两次进行的"中国人的性关系与性行为"的随机抽样调查发现,在中国20-64岁的男女中,梅毒发病率12倍于国家权威部门同期公布的数据,淋病发病率70倍于国家权威部门同期公布的数据。我们现有的以公共卫生学为理论指导的性病统计存在着两个重大的遗憾:一是仅仅重视性病发生率的发展趋势,而且是把各个年份的发生率作为一个个单独的数字来使用的,无法从一个历史时段的视角来考察性病的发生与发展;二是性病的独特性在于它的发生率与特定历史时段内的社会文化变迁紧密相关,而不是一个生物学意义上的简单疾病。目前公共卫生学的统计方法尚无法揭示这方面的内容,更无法解释其意义。如果使用Logistic回归方法进行分析,把两个年头作为控制变量,考察除了年头差异之外相关的社会原因,就能保证统计分析的有效性与可靠性。更多还原

【Abstract】 In the last 20 years,sexually transmitted diseases(civi"lSTD")infection rates are growing rapidly.By the Chinese People’s University of the Institute of Sociology in 2000 and 2006 respectively,two of the"Chinese people’s sexual relations and sexual behaviour,"the random sample survey found that in China 20 to 64-year-old men and women,the incidence of syphilis 12 times in the same period the authority of the State Department released the data,70 times the incidence of gonorrhea in the same period of state authority to data released by the department.Our existing public health to the theoretical guidance of the STD statistics there are two major regret:First,the incidence of sexually transmitted diseases only to the development trend,but the incidence of various years as a separate figures to use,Not from a historical perspective during the occurrence of sexually transmitted diseases to study and development;Second,sexually transmitted diseases is unique in that its incidence and specific historical periods in the closely related to social and cultural changes,rather than a biological sense,a simple disease.At present the public health of the statistical method can not reveal the contents of this area,can not explain its significance.If you use Logistic regression analysis,the first of the two as control variables,in addition to the first study of differences in the correlation between statistical analysis will be able to guarantee the effectiveness and reliability.更多还原