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气候变化与对荆州市粮食安全影响的思考

Climate Change and Its influence on Food Security in Jingzhou

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【作者】 刘银秀范剑肖学胜

【Author】 LIU Yin-xiu,FAN Jian,XIAO Xue-sheng(Jingzhou Meteorological Station,Jingzhou,434000,Hubei,China)

【机构】 湖北省荆州市气象台

【摘要】 运用二次多项式回归方法,模拟分析出荆州市近54年来逐年平均气温呈整体上升趋势,气候变暖;揭示了荆州市在全球气候变暖的大背景下,近年极端天气气候事件频发,阶段性的低温冷害也时有发生的区域气候变化事实;提出了应对气候变化,保障荆州粮食安全的必要措施.

【Abstract】 By using the quadratic polynomial regression curve fitting analysis,the annual average temperature of Jingzhou in recent 54 years had been increasing.The climate was getting warmer and wramer.It also revealed the fact that the frequency of extreme weather and climatic events in Jingzhou and the regional climate change of the short-term chilling damage occured every now and then in the background of global warming.Some necessary measures were mentioned to deal with the climate change and ensure the food security in Jingzhou.

【基金】 国家科技支撑计划(2006BAD02A13)
  • 【文献出处】 湖北农业科学 ,Hubei Agricultural Sciences , 编辑部邮箱 ,2008年09期
  • 【分类号】P467
  • 【被引频次】1
  • 【下载频次】163
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