【摘要】 通过使用2005年1月至2007年12月的月度数据,借助向量自回归模型,分析了需求因素对近期中国通货膨胀冲击的影响。研究结果显示:需求冲击是中国本轮通货膨胀压力上升的重要原因。其中,投资需求和消费需求对通货膨胀率上升的影响作用明显,而净出口对通货膨胀率上升的影响并不显著。因此,抑制总需求过快增长,将是控制物价上涨、保持宏观经济稳定的重要途径。更多还原

【Abstract】 This paper uses the VAR model to analyze the data from 2005.1 to 2007.12 and study the impact of demand on inflation.The research findings are as follows:the demand impact is the major force behind the current inflation pressure in China,wherein investment demand and consumption demand have considerable impact while the net export has insignificant effect on the inflation rate.Therefore,exercising control over the overall demand increase should be an effective way to control price and maintain the stability of the macro-economy.更多还原