【摘要】 人类活动作用于土地资源,使LUCC(土地利用/土地覆被变化)在全球环境变化过程中起主导作用,随着国际LUCC研究计划的进展,各国依据本国的实际情况开展研究。对西安市以往五年(2000~2004年)的土地利用基础数据开展调查统计分析,建立灰色系统动态GM(1,1)模型,预测2005~2010年西安市土地利用结构变化状况,尝试计算西安市土地生态系统服务价值损失(简称生态损失),用一种直观经济指标-货币来反映这种生态损失。预测2010年西安市生态损失为331.84×106元。更多还原

【Abstract】 Mankind’s movable function in the land resources,make in the global environment the variety the process the LUCC have predominant function,study planned progress along with the international LUCC,the actual circumstance of the basis in all countries our country opens an exhibition research.The paper made use of the foundation data to open the exhibition inquisition to statistics analysis to the land of former five years(in 2000~2004) in Xi’an city,on the basis of this, set up Grey Systemic Dynamic Model,forecasted Xi’an land use change from 2005 to 2010,tried to calculate the loss of Xi’an land ecosystem service value and use the coin to reflect this kind of loss.The paper predicted the loss of land ecosystem service value to 331.84 ×106 yuan in 2010.更多还原