【摘要】 从拟合效果的角度来分析通货膨胀目标制和泰勒规则这两大最流行的货币政策规则在中国的选择问题,研究结果表明,从对中国利率走势的预测能力来看,通货膨胀目标制远远优于泰勒规则。因此,中国人民银行要想提高对宏观经济的把握能力,及时准确地获取宏观经济信息,应该选择通货膨胀目标制并积极创造实行通胀目标制的各种条件。更多还原

【Abstract】 This paper gives an analysis on the selection between the inflation targeting rule and Taylor’s rule in China.We can find that the inflation targeting is far more optimal than Taylor’s rule.Therefore,if the central bank wants to increase its control ability over macro-economy and obtain timely information,it should adopt the inflation targeting rule.Accordingly,the People’s Bank of China should actively create necessary conditions for implementing the inflation target.更多还原