【摘要】 目前,很多喀斯特旅游地面临着初次开发、二次开发或者多次开发的投资选择问题。建立评价模型的目的是把有限的资金投入到能产生较大边际效益的旅游地。本文根据层次分析法,除考虑传统的资源、市场、区域开发条件等评价因素外,首次把发展阶段力引入了评价模型中,通过特尔菲法确定评价因子的权重,建立喀斯特旅游地开发时序评价的总模型和子模型,并建设性的探讨了定性和定量相结合的评价因子评分标准。文章还以贵州喀斯特国家级风景名胜区为例进行了时序评价实例研究,并给予了相应的时序开发对策。更多还原

【Abstract】 At present,there is investment choosing of first development or second development or multi-development in many karst tourism destinations.The aim of the article is that little investment makes much virtue.In accordance with AHP method,besides the evaluation factors for example resources,market and superiority,the power of different development phases is considered in the model of temporal evaluation.The power of evaluation factors is fixed by Delphi.Total and branch models of temporal evaluation on karst tourism destination development are given.Then the qualitative and quantitative scoring criterion of evaluating factors is discussed.Finally a case study of temporal evaluation on development is applied,and then its strategy is offered.更多还原