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马尔科夫模型及其在药品经济预测中的应用
Markov Model and Its Application in the Forecasting of Drug Economy
【摘要】 目的:将马尔科夫模型引入药品经济领域,探讨其在预测药品市场动态中的作用。方法:阐述马尔科夫模型的原理,通过实例说明其在药品经济预测中的应用。结果:马尔科夫模型是一种具有很多优点的预测方法,能够对符合假设条件下的各种经济动态进行准确预测。结论:马尔科夫模型应在药品经济领域得到推广应用。
【Abstract】 OBJECTIVE:To apply Markov model in the drug market and to discuss its effect on the forecasting of the dynamic state of drug market.METHOD:The principle of Markov model was expounded and its application in the forecasting of drug market was illustrated with examples.RESULT:Markov model was a forecasting method of many merits,which can be used to forecast those economy dynamic states that were in line with the condition of hypothesis.CONCLUSIONS:Markov model should be applied in drug market extensively.
- 【文献出处】 中国药房 ,China Pharmacy , 编辑部邮箱 ,2005年14期
- 【分类号】F407.7
- 【被引频次】34
- 【下载频次】1033