【摘要】 生物质能是太阳能以化学能形式贮存在生物中的一种能量形式。GLUE模型和FISCHER模型均从产生来源方面研究了未来的几十年里生物质能的供给潜力,GLUE模型强调了土地使用方式以及食物供求在生物质能供给中的作用,FISCHER模型则为我们提供了一些政策建议。FISCHER模型认为到2050年全球生物质能供给潜力为370～453FJ,GLUE模型的研究结果为2050年的182EJ、2100年的136EJ。本文就这两个模型研究在设计和结果方面进行了回顾和比较,并就差异进行了简单的讨论。更多的政策方面的选择有待于进一步探讨。更多还原

【Abstract】 Bioenergy is a sort of energy, which is shaped by solar energy in form of chemical energy. GLUK Model and FISCHER Model discuss the supply potential of bioenergy in the future from the prospective of energy origin, with the former focusing on functions land use and food supply and demand, while the latter emphasizing on policy suggestions. Therefore the outcomes of the two models are different. FISCHER Model calculates the supply potential as 370-453EJ in 2050; in contrast, GLUE Model suggests it as 182EJ in 2050 and 136EJ in 2100. This paper reviews and compares the above two in model design and calculation, briefly discusser the differences, and leaves more room for policy alternatives.更多还原