【摘要】 鉴于山西产业结构的发展现状,如何对山西产业结构的发展趋势进行预测分析,进而制定合理的产业政策,促进山西产业结构的顺利调整已成为亟待解决的问题。我们借助成分数据预测建模方法,结合上世纪90年代山西产业结构中各次产业从业人员的比例关系及建立山西产业结构发展趋势预测模型,对山西产业结构在未来几年内的发展趋势做出相应的预测,并提出一些政策性的建议,以此为今后山西制定合理的产业结构政策提供相应的理论依据。更多还原

【Abstract】 In view of the current situation of industrial structure in Shanxi,how to predict and analyze the trend of its development has become an urgent issue,because it can help us adopt reasonable policies and promote the successful adjustment of the structure.In the paper,some predictions have been made about the developing trend of industrial structure in Shanxi in the coming years,based on the method of compositional data prediction model together with the employee proportion in every industry in 1990,and some policy-related suggestions have also been made in order to provide theoretical basis for Shanxi province to formulate rational policy about industrial sturcture.更多还原