节点文献
北京市中心城区人才队伍发展趋势预测
Forecast of Talents Developing Trend of the Center District of Beijing
【摘要】 人才需求与发展趋势预测是制定人才发展战略的基础,是确立人才引进、培养、使用等一系列相关政策的前提条件。本文以北京市西城区为例分析了北京市中心城区为了实现2008年迎接奥运会制订的经济发展目标,所进行的人才发展规划研究。用定量与定性相结合的分析方法,从人才总量与人才结构与经济发展相适应的角度分析了人才发展的趋势特点以及奥运之前的人才需求预测。
【Abstract】 The forecast of the need of talent and developing trend is the basis of establishing talent strategy. It ’s also the precondition of many policies. To realize the economic developing goal for "2008 Olympic Game", this paper, taking the Xicheng district for example, analyzes the talent programming of the center district of Beijing. With the quautitative and qualitative analysis, the author analyzes the talent developing trait Considering the harmong in the talent gross, structure and economic expanding, The paper also forecasts the need of talent before 2008.
【Key words】 the need of talent; gray system model; double-exponential smoothing method;
- 【文献出处】 首都经济贸易大学学报 ,Journal of Capital University of Economics and Business , 编辑部邮箱 ,2005年03期
- 【分类号】C964.2;
- 【下载频次】94