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房地产市场过度开发的另一个诱因——开发商的非理性心理行为

Another inducement of over development in the real estate market——the irrational psychological behavior of real estate developers

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【作者】 陈健王海滋柳玉斌

【Author】 CHEN Jian~1, WANG Hai-zi~2,LIU YU-bin~3(1. School of Management Engineering, Shandong University of Architecture and Engineering, Jinan 250014, China; 2. School of Business, Shandong University of Architecture and Engineering, Jinan 250014, China;3.Longkou Preparing and Constructing Office of Local Railway,Yantai 265700,China)

【机构】 山东建筑工程学院管理工程学院山东建筑工程学院商学院龙口市地方铁路筹建办公室 山东济南250014山东济南250014山东烟台265700

【摘要】 针对房地产市场的过度开发,基于行为经济学的理论,从预售的角度阐述开发商的非理性心理行为(过度自信、过度偏爱自有信息)所引致的非理性供应行为。简述了基本的理论框架,建立了开发商的非理性决策模型,并得出了行为经济学理论用于房地产供应决策的一般框架,最后用实际数据描述性地说明了非理性心理行为存在的合理性。

【Abstract】 Aiming at the over-development in real estate markets, the irrational supply behavior resulted from irrational psychological behavior (over-confidence, self-contribution) of real estate developers is elaborated from the pre-sale point based on classic behavior economics theory. The basic theoretical framework was firstly introduced, and then one model about developers’ irrational decision was established. The common framework was put forward, in which behavior economics theory was applied to real estate supplying decision. Finally, the rightness of the inducement was showed by actual data.

【关键词】 房地产非理性预售
【Key words】 real estateirrationalitypre-sale
  • 【文献出处】 山东建筑工程学院学报 ,Journal of Shandong Institute of Architecture and Engineering , 编辑部邮箱 ,2005年01期
  • 【分类号】F293.3
  • 【被引频次】6
  • 【下载频次】266
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