【摘要】 选取连云港市1990-2003年期间主要经济指标作为样本数据,通过建立计量经济联立方程模型,利用EVIEWS3.1的二阶段最小二乘法对方程进行回归和检验,对“十一五”期间连云港市主要经济指标进行了预测分析,据此,提出政策建议:(1)加快工业化进程,优化产业结构;(2)千方百计扩大投资规模;(3)增强消费者信心,进一步刺激消费;(4)统筹城乡发展,增加农民收入;(5)进一步壮大港口经济;(6)大力发展非公有经济。更多还原

【Abstract】 Based on the history and present conditions of lianyungang economic development,the paper sets up simultaneous equation model of econometrics,using historical data of 14 years from 1990 to 2003 as samples.It makes the regression analysis and examination by the method of two stage least squares of EVIEWS3.1.Then the main macro-economy variables in the eleventh five years are predicted and analyzed.At last we get the conclusion and raise some suggestions about policies.更多还原