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海南农业发展与经济增长的实证分析
A Positive Analysis of Agricultural Development and Economic Growth of Hainan Province
【摘要】 通过计算1990—2003年海南省农业对GDP增长的贡献率,结果表明农业对海南省国民经济增长的贡献最大;运用灰色关联理论,计算农业及其内部各部门与海南省GDP灰色关联度和农业与第二产业、第三产业的灰色关联度,发现农业及其种植业、牧业的总产值与GDP的灰色关联度较大,农业与第三产业的灰色关联度较大,与第二产业的灰色关联度较小。根据分析结果,提出了发展海南农业的政策建议。
【Abstract】 The paper first calculates the contribution rate of agriculture to GDP growth of Hainan Province, which indicates that the agriculture plays the biggest role in the local economy. Then, it uses the Gray Theory to figure out the gray relational coefficient between GDP and agriculture together with its different departments, and between agriculture and the second and tertiary industry. The results show that the gross output value of the agriculture, planting and stockbreeding boasts a big gray relational coefficient on local GDP. At the same time, the agriculture is more related to the tertiary Industry. Finally, the author of this paper puts forward some recommendations on polices concerning agricultural development.
【Key words】 GDP growth; Hainan agriculture; contribution rate; gray relational coefficient;
- 【文献出处】 海南大学学报(人文社会科学版) ,Humanities & Social Science Journal of Hainan University , 编辑部邮箱 ,2005年02期
- 【分类号】F224
- 【被引频次】6
- 【下载频次】315