【摘要】 随着顾客个性化需求所要求的交货期变得越来越短,制造商有必要对个性化需求进行预测。现有的预测方法并不适合于个性化需求的预测。本文首先从需求的相关性、自相关性、个性化需求的产生过程等方面分析了个性化需求的特点,然后在介绍已有文献对需求预测管理的一般性原则的基础上,结合个性化需求的特点,以提高预测准确率为目标,提出了个性化需求预测的系统性的八条基本原则,并对个性化需求预测原则和传统需求预测原则进行了比较。更多还原

【Abstract】 With an increasing trend that customers long for their customized needs to be fulfilled under short customer lead time, it will be necessary for the manufacturers to forecast the individual demand. After analyzing the characteristics of the individual demand from demand correlation, demand autocorrelation, demand’s forming process, eight basic principles to forecast the individual demand are put forward based on the characteristics of the individual demand and directed by the principles of demand forecasting management.更多还原