【摘要】 从危机、稳定和预警的基本概念的讨论出发,明确了预警模型的研究对象是可预测突发性危机事件,并将其分为四种类型:可预测突发性严重危机事件、可预测突发性较严重危机事件、可预测突发性一般危机事件、可预测突发性非危机事件。据此,运用模糊数学方法提出了定量预警模型。更多还原

【Abstract】 Starting with the discussion on basic concepts of crisis, stability and warning, this article specifies that the research object of warning models is predictable emergent affairs, which fall into the following four types, namely, serious crisis, relatively serious crisis, general crisis and non-crisis. In accordance with the classification, the method of fuzzy mathematics is used in the proposition of rationing warning models.更多还原