【摘要】 本文针对近年来我国出口商品结构高度化和贸易条件持续恶化并存的现象,对中国现实的贸易模式进行了实证分析。结果表明,我国初级产品及制成品出口比重增减均与价格贸易条件成负相关关系。接着,文章设立了一个引入产品内分工概念的数理模型,说明以上悖论源自于我国生产的工业制成品均位于产品内分工的低价值链部位,从而造成出口商品结构迅速高度化的假象。最后,在以上实证研究和逻辑分析的基础上,给出了提升我国贸易利益的政策建议。更多还原

【Abstract】 The paper makes an empirical analysis on current trade patterns of China in order to proof-test the coexistence of exporting commodity structure upgrading and deterioration of terms of trade in China. The result shows that the exporting proportion of the primary goods and manufacturing goods both present negative correlation with the terms of trade in China. Then, the paper sets up an algebraic model which accepts the idea of intra-product specialization. The model shows the paradox derives from the fact that the manufacturing goods produced in China are lying on the low-adding-value part in the producing procedure, which leads to the misconception of upgrading of the exporting trade structure in China. Finally, on the basis of former empirical analysis and symbolic logic analysis, the paper makes some pertinent suggestions.更多还原