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室内模拟塑料大棚黄瓜白粉病流行预测模型的建立

Forecasting models for epidemics of cucumber powdery mildew (Pseudoperonospora cubensis)under simulated plastic tunnel condition

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【作者】 徐宁刘凤权胡白石罗卫红

【Author】 XU Ning, LIU Feng-quan, HU Bai-shi, LUO Wei-hong(College of Plant Protection, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing 210095, China; College of Agronomy, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing 210095, China)

【机构】 南京农业大学植保学院南京农业大学农学院 南京 210095南京 210095南京 210095

【摘要】 在室内人工气候箱内,通过人工接种和模拟高温高湿环境的方法研究了黄瓜白粉病的发生和流行趋势,采用SAS统计软件对试验数据进行相关和回归分析,建立了黄瓜白粉病始病期与流行程度的预测模型。始病期预测模型的RMSE值在2以下,流行程度预测模型的RMSE值在6以下,表明模型可对塑料大棚黄瓜白粉病始病期和流行程度进行定量预测。

【Abstract】 The occurrence and development of cucumber powdery mildew was investigated under simulated plastic tunnel condition. The forecasting models of disease occurrence on-set date and disease severity were established by regression, and their root mean squar error (RMSE) values were less than 2 and 6, respectively. The results demonstrated that these models could be used to forecast the occurrence and epidemics of cucumber powdery mildew in the plastic tunnel.

【基金】 中国-荷兰科技合作研究项目,受中国科技部和荷兰皇家科学院(KNAW)资助。
  • 【分类号】S436.421
  • 【被引频次】9
  • 【下载频次】268
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