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海堤漫顶的可靠度分析
Reliability Analysis of Dyke Overtopping
【摘要】 漫顶失事是海堤坍垮的一个主要失事形式,考虑风暴潮和波浪共同作用引起的漫顶,将风暴潮、风速、潮位、波浪爬高、堤顶高程作为随机变量来处理,建立海堤漫顶的可靠度分析模型,以乐清市某海堤为例,运用积分-MonteCarlo法求解不同重现期海堤漫顶的失效概率,量化了海堤漫顶失事的风险,为设计提供依据.
【Abstract】 Overtopping is the main wreck form of dyke collapse. This paper considers that the overtopping was caused by storm tide and wave and regards that storm tide ,wind speed ,tide height.wave high and dyke elevation are random variables in the reliability analysis model of overtopping dyke.Taking some dyke of Yueqing as example,the author uses integral-Monte Carlo law to solve the failure probability of different reappear dyke overtopping and quantifies the risk of dyke accident.It offers the basis for designing.
【关键词】 海堤;
漫顶;
MonteCarlo法;
失效概率;
风暴潮;
【Key words】 dyke overtopping; integral-Monte Carlo law; failure probability; storm tide;
【Key words】 dyke overtopping; integral-Monte Carlo law; failure probability; storm tide;
- 【文献出处】 浙江水利水电专科学校学报 ,Journal of Zhejiang Water Conservancy and Hydropower College , 编辑部邮箱 ,2004年03期
- 【分类号】U656.3
- 【被引频次】2
- 【下载频次】121