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应用乘数法估计艾滋病男性高危人群基数

Estimating size of male sub-population at high risk for HIV/AIDS by multiplier method

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【作者】 栾荣生曾亚莉王斌范黎黄涌唐刘红曾刚余海涛苏丹婷

【Author】 LUAN Rong-sheng,ZENG Ya-li,WANG Bing,et al.Department of Epidemiology,School of West China Public Health,Sichuan University(Chengdu 610041,China)

【机构】 四川大学华西公共卫生学院流行病学教研室中英性病艾滋病防治合作项目办公室四川省乐山市疾病预防控制中心四川大学华西公共卫生学院流行病学教研室 成都610041成都610041成都610041

【摘要】 目的 探索在我国现状下估计艾滋病男性高危人群基数的有效方法。方法 通过女性性服务者中志愿者和在性病门诊、长途汽车站、建筑工地、长途货运站进行调查以及采用提名法等多种途径接近调查对象 ,运用乘数法估计乐山市中心城区艾滋病男性高危人群基数。结果 乐山市中心城区最近 1年与暗娼发生性交易的人数为 2 5 92 6~ 2 986 3人 ;性访问频率为 15 39次 /年。结论 通过女性性服务者中志愿者、长途汽车站和采用提名法可有效地接近调查对象 ,并能保证样本的代表性 ;运用乘数法能简便、快速的估计艾滋病男性高危人群基数。

【Abstract】 Objective To explore effective methods by estimating the size of clients of female sex workers in present China.Methods Contacted subjects by several approaches including female sex workers volunteers,STD clinics,long-distance bus stations,building site,long-distance freighting station and adopting nomination methods,and applied multiplier method to estimate the size of clients of female sex workers in Leshan downtown district.Results The size of clients of female sex workers calculated in Leshan downtown district was 25 926-29 863 and frequency of sexual intercourse was 15.39 per year.Conclusion The ways to contact subjects effectively and to ensure sample representative were sex workers volunteers,long-distance bus stations and adopting snowballing methods.Applying multiplier method could calculate the size of the clients simply and quickly.

  • 【文献出处】 中国公共卫生 ,China Public Health , 编辑部邮箱 ,2004年07期
  • 【分类号】R181.3
  • 【被引频次】19
  • 【下载频次】193
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