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谐波分析在旱涝气候预测中的应用

Analyse the Application in the Drought and Waterlogging is Predicted in Unexpected Turn of in Hannony

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【作者】 王斌生朱海利段昌辉

【Author】 WANG Bin-Sheng, ZHU Hai-Li, DUAN Chang-hui (Weather bureau of Xianyang, Xianyang Shaanxi 712000,China)

【机构】 咸阳市气象局咸阳市气象局 陕西 咸阳 712000陕西 咸阳 712000陕西 咸阳 712000

【摘要】 通过对气候要素旱涝的谐波分析建立预测模型,对历史文献资料和现代观测资料进行了分级处理,采用C语言编程,将周期函数(旱涝序列)展开,是把一个比较复杂的周期运动,看成是许多不同频率的简谐振动的叠加。对旱涝气候进行预测并先后成功地预测了1995年、1997年的干旱和2003年的雨涝,效果良好。

【Abstract】 Use in harmony wave is it set up model of predicting to analyse , observe to historical documents and materials and modernization materials is it punish in grades to go on, adopt the language programming of C, in last completion of the computer. (whether drought suffer from waterlogging array) cycle function, launch according to above-mentioned way, physics of it meaning very clear, regard a more complicated cycle sport as the superposing of simple vibration in harmony of a lot of different frequency.In the climate is predicted, use this method to launch the prediction of the key element of many kinds of climate. Use model this, aridity predicted 1995, 1997 to succeed in successively suffer from waterlogging with rain of 2003, command producing , strategic policy, offering scientific basis for the leaders at all levels in the flood prevention, fight a drought.

  • 【文献出处】 咸阳师范学院学报 ,Journal of Xianyang Teachers College , 编辑部邮箱 ,2004年04期
  • 【分类号】P467
  • 【被引频次】6
  • 【下载频次】132
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