【摘要】 条件推理主要有两种研究范式 :演绎形式 (MP、DA、AC、MT)和变通形式 (四卡问题 )。已往研究主要探讨了内容因素、情境因素以及元认知因素等对条件推理的影响 ,形成了若干理论模型和观点。近来 ,Oaksford等人研究了概率因素对条件推理的影响 ,提出了条件概率模型。本文对这种新的研究取向作了详细的介绍和评价 ,并对未来研究进行了展望更多还原

【Abstract】 Two major paradigms about studying conditional inference are the syllogistic format and the selection task. Many studies discussed the influence of content, context and metacognition on it. As a result, there were many theories about it. Lately, Oaksford put forward a conditional probability model of conditional inference , which studied the probabilities and polarity in conditional inference. This article recommends the model and looks to the future of studies in this field.更多还原