【摘要】 针对工程问题的特点结合马尔科夫链理论 ,提出了具备状态模糊划分和具有“大体无后效性”特点的模糊马尔科夫链状的预测模型。并给出了模糊马尔科夫链的初始概率和一重转移概率的计算方法的一般公式。发展了马尔科夫链预测方法 ,拓宽了其应用范围更多还原

【Abstract】 Combining the engineering characteristic and the theory of Markov chain, this paper inferred the forecast model of fuzzy Markov chain, which had the fuzzy division of conditions and characteristics of no following effects in the main. It deduced the initial probability on the fuzzy Markov chain and the common computational formula of single layer shift probability. This developed the predictable method of Markov chain and widened the practice range.更多还原