【摘要】 以经济净现值为评价指标来度量房地产投资风险 ,从财务评价的方面确定了风险分析的主要因素并确定变量概率分布类型 ,然后结合随机变量随机数的产生方法建立了房地产投资风险分析模型 ,并从统计理论确定模拟的次数 ,最后论述了如何对模拟结果进行风险分析更多还原

【Abstract】 The net value is used as the efficiency index of real estate risk. Using the method that create random number of stochastic variable, a risk analysis model of Monte Carlo is described by confirming central risk factors of finance estimate′s aspect and discussing risk variables′ style of probability distribution. Its simulation degree is confirmed from statistical theory as well. Finally the way to analyze the conclusion of simulation is discussed in detail.更多还原