【摘要】 简述了相空间神经网络模型原理和算法,并通过实例讨论了其在水文中长期预测中的应用。将混沌重构相空间理论和神经网络模型相结合,对揭示水文系统复杂的非线性结构是很有效的,经实例研究初步表明,该模型应用在水文中长期预报中是可行的、合理的,数学分析工具更为先进,有很好的预报精度和应用价值。更多还原

【Abstract】 The philosophy and algorithm of a NN model of chaotic phase space are introduced, then its application for hydrology is discussed. It is reasonable and superior to use this model in medium-and-long-term hydrologic prediction. At last, application of the model in the long-term runoff prediction of Baishan Reservoir is shown., the result of calculation shows that the model is highly effective and is worthy of popularization and application?更多还原