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灰色系统理论在矿山安全事故预测中的应用

Application of Grey System Theory in the Prediction of Mine Safety Accident

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【作者】 杨建明石建军赵和仲熊韶峰

【Author】 YANG Jian-ming, SHI Jian-jun, ZHAO He-zhong, XIONG Shao-feng (School of Construction Engineering, Resource and Environment, Nanhua University, Hengyang, Hunan 421001, China)

【机构】 南华大学建工与资源环境学院南华大学建工与资源环境学院 湖南衡阳市 421001湖南衡阳市 421001湖南衡阳市 421001

【摘要】 对某铅锌矿近10年来的安全事故资料进行了详细分析与研究,认为每年3月是事故高发期,而且随矿山生产能力提高,往往出现安全事故大幅上升。同时应用灰色系统理论,预测矿山2003~2005年每年可能出现10~12次安全事故,指出必须及时加强安全教育,强化安全管理,才可以防患于未然。

【Abstract】 This paper analyses in detail the data on the safety accidents occurring in a certain lead-mine in the past decade years, then draws a conclusion that in the mine, every year March may be accident fastigium, also the frequency of safety accidents greatly rises with the increase of ore production. Through analyzing by grey system theory, it is predicted that there may are 10 to 12 safety accidents to occur during 2003~2005 in the mine. It is put forward that the possible safety accidents can be prevented only if the safety education and management must be strengthened timely in this mine.

  • 【文献出处】 矿业研究与开发 ,Mining Research and Development , 编辑部邮箱 ,2004年01期
  • 【分类号】TD77
  • 【被引频次】21
  • 【下载频次】248
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