【摘要】 在江西赣州发生萧氏松茎象HylobitelusxiaoiZhang危害的松林内 ,对不同虫株率松林灌木层群落多样性和植被盖度进行测定 ,在此基础上对松林的虫株率分 3次 ( 1 1月 ,次年 5月和次年 8月 )进行调查 ,最后结合各调查因子组建了萧氏松茎象种群发生量预测模型 ,植被盖度与虫口密度间存在显著相关性 ,虫口密度随植被盖度降低而减少 ,不同月份间虫口密度间均达到极显著水平。进一步对各因子进行多元回归分析 ,得到线性回归方程 :Y =-2 0 62 6+1 41 7T2 +0 2 3 3T1 -0 1 4 1G ;逐步回归分析得到最优回归方程Y=-0 0 91 1 +1 2 5 82 ,R =0 992 ,P <0 0 1。由逐步回归方程可知 ,次年 5月份虫口密度与次年 8月份虫日密度关系最为密切。更多还原

【Abstract】 Biodiversity index, infestation and vegetation cover were used as factors in forecasting Hylobitelus xiao Zhang population in Ganzhou, Jiangxi Province. The model established and field observation showed that vegetation cover is closely related to beetle attack with vegetation cover reduction resulting in decreasing beetle attack. Regression analysis resulted in a model revaling relationship between beetle density and vegetation cover: Y=-20\^626+1\^417T\-2+0\^233T\-1-0\^141G; further a stepwise regression Y=-0\^0911+1\^258T\-2 showing closeness between beetle density in August and May.更多还原