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福建省暴发性林火天气预报方法研究
Study on Prediction of Eruptive Forest Fire in Fujian Province
【摘要】 据1989~2002年福建省森林火灾资料与相应的气象资料,应用数量化回归分析,指出秋冬旱、强寒潮、冬春旱是福建省暴发性森林火灾的潜在气象因子;通过分析500hPa东亚天气形势与森林火灾的关系建立福建省暴发性森林火灾预报模式
【Abstract】 Based on the data of forest fire in Fujian province and relevant meteorological data from 1989 to 2002,applying regression analysis,the results show the drought in Autumn to Winter and strong cold wave was potential factors for eruptive forest fire in next year from January to March; Analysing the relation between the data of eruptive forest fire and relevant synoptic situation ,it was established predict pattern.
【关键词】 气象灾害;
东亚大槽;
暴发性森林火灾;
预报模式;
【Key words】 meteorological disaster; low trough in East Asia; eruptive forest fire; predict pattern;
【Key words】 meteorological disaster; low trough in East Asia; eruptive forest fire; predict pattern;
【基金】 福建省科学技术厅科学基金资助项目(98 Z 115)
- 【文献出处】 福建林学院学报 ,Journal of Fujian College of Forestry , 编辑部邮箱 ,2004年01期
- 【分类号】S762
- 【被引频次】10
- 【下载频次】64