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博弈论视角下的卢沟桥事变
Lugou Bridge Incident in the perpective of Game Theory
【摘要】 本文主要运用博弈论模型对卢沟桥事变从一个“地方性”事件演变为中日两国之间的全面战争这一过程进行分析。本文认为 ,卢沟桥事变发生伊始 ,中日两国都不同程度地想避免卷入全面战争 ,但是由于双方在卢沟桥事变后所采取的对策使得他们陷入了“谁是懦夫”的困境中 ,最终导致了全面战争的爆发。
【Abstract】 The essay mainly analyzed the course of the incident from an endemic incident to a full-scale war between China and Japan with the model of Game Theory.It is believed in this essay that at the beginning,both China and Japan wanted to avoid a full-scale war to different extents.Nevertheless,the policies of the two nations made themselves fall into the dilemma of the"Chicken Game",which leads to full-scale war at last.
- 【文献出处】 安徽史学 ,Historiography Anhui , 编辑部邮箱 ,2004年03期
- 【分类号】K2654
- 【被引频次】4
- 【下载频次】543