【摘要】 新技术的发展、新管理理念的诞生使得管理活动发生了巨大的变化,变化带来的是更多的不确定性问题,对不确定性问题的认识与求解已经成为企业发展中所面临的重要问题。本文首先以经济行为人的有限理性和行为的不稳定性为基础,对不确定性的概念进行了归纳,进而从两种不同的研究视角———基于交易成本和契约的观点、基于知识和能力的观点对不确定性理论的发展进行了总结和分析。最后,本文提出了对不确定性问题进行系统分析的框架。更多还原

【Abstract】 New technologies and new management ideas have resulted in many changes in management activities,creating problem of uncertainty.Many managers have recognized the importance of how to deal with uncertainties in management.This paper,based on the bounded rationality and behavior instability of people,describes the concept of uncertainty firstly,and then summarizes and analyzes the development of uncertainty theory from two research views:transaction cost and contract dependent theory,and knowledge and competence dependent theory.Finally,a systemic analysis framework for uncertainty issue is offered.更多还原