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我国社会商品零售价格指数的短期预测
The Short - term Prediction on Commodity Retail Price Index in Our Country
【摘要】 物价水平的高低对社会和经济的影响是非常大的。我国物价水平在90年代波动很大.严重影响了我国的社会与经济。为使我国的物价水平相对稳定,有必要根据1950—1999年50年间我国商品零售价格指数的统计资料,运用统计软件SAS和时间序列模型等,对我国的商品零售价格指数进行分析和预测,并提出一些有针对性的建议。
【Abstract】 The influence of commodity price lever to economy and society is very great, in 1990s, the commodity price level of our country greatly varied, and seriously affected economy and society. In order to make our country’s commodity price level comparably stable, according to the statistical data of commodity retail price index of our country from 1950 to 1999, this paper applies statistics software SAS and Tune Series model etc., analyzes and predicts the commodity retail price of our country, and brings up seme pertinent suggestion.
【关键词】 通货膨胀;
商品零售物价指数;
时间序列模型;
【Key words】 Inflation; Index of the commodity retail price; Time series model;
【Key words】 Inflation; Index of the commodity retail price; Time series model;
- 【文献出处】 吉林省经济管理干部学院学报 ,Journal of Jilin Province Economic Management Cadre College , 编辑部邮箱 ,2003年02期
- 【分类号】F714.1
- 【下载频次】294