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回采生产计划决策支持系统的产量预测模型
The Output Forcast Model of Decision Support System for Mining Production Plan
【摘要】 介绍了回采生产计划决策支持系统中采用的产量预测模型。在计划编制和决策之前 ,利用时间序列的滑动平均法和指数平滑法可以提高回采工作面的产量预测精确度 ,把预测的产量数据经过决策模型决策后作为计划编制时回采工作面的产量依据 ,提高生产中计划决策和编制的准确实用性
【Abstract】 The application of output forcast model in the decision support system for mining production plan is described.Before scheduling and decision-making,using the time sequential averaging method and index smoothing method can improve the output forcast accuracy of stoping face.The forcasted output data when decided by the decision-making model can be used as the basis of stoping output in scheduling so as to raise the correctness and practicality of the decision-making and scheduling of production.
【关键词】 三量管理;
管理信息系统;
产量预测;
时间序列模型;
【Key words】 Three variables management; Management information system; Output forcast; Time sequence model;
【Key words】 Three variables management; Management information system; Output forcast; Time sequence model;
- 【文献出处】 金属矿山 ,Metal Mine , 编辑部邮箱 ,2003年01期
- 【分类号】F426.21
- 【被引频次】4
- 【下载频次】117