【摘要】 利用市场负效应的原理,分析了天津机场吞吐量流失的原因;然后用回归预测分析方法,将天津机场纳入京津冀经济圈,预测了天津机场的理论(实际应发生)吞吐量。最后得出结论:由于天津与北京经济水平的差异以及国家对机场投入的巨大差异,导致了天津机场的旅客不得不乘2个小时的地面车辆到北京首都机场进出港,故天津机场的吞吐量一直上不去。对天津机场管理者的启示是机场的正确定位非常重要。更多还原

【Abstract】 The paper analyzed economically the reasons for the passengers and freights losses from Tianjin airport to other airports by adopting the theory of market’s negative effect. Then the paper put Tianjin in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei economic zone to forecast passengers and freights handled at Tianjin airport by the means of linear regression. Finally it drew a conclusion that nearly half air traffic in Tianjin had been transported from or to Beijing international airport as a result that great differences of economic level and investment to airport between Tianjin and Beijing exist. Therefore it is important for Tianjin airport’ managers to position Tianjin airport correctly..更多还原