【摘要】 [目的 ]分析福建省同安恶性肿瘤死因及死亡率变化趋势 ,为预防控制提供依据。[方法 ]计算标化死亡率、早死所致生命损失年 ,并采用灰色模型预测 ,对 1990— 2 0 0 1年同安恶性肿瘤死亡资料统计分析。 [结果 ] 1990— 2 0 0 1年同安恶性肿瘤死亡率呈上升趋势。恶性肿瘤标化死亡率 12 6 72 /10万 ,食管癌、肝癌、胃癌和肺癌标化死亡率分别为3 9 12 /10万、3 6 5 9/10万、12 82 /10万和 12 60 /10万。肺癌死亡率上升趋势明显 ,女性肺癌标化生命损失年YLLS率上升 18 18%。以灰色模型GM ( 1,1)预测 2 0 0 5年同安恶性肿瘤死亡率为 14 2 0 6/10万。[结论 ]肝癌、食管癌、肺癌、胃癌是同安肿瘤研究与防治的重点。更多还原

【Abstract】 Objective To explore the mortality changing tendency of cancers. Methods The mortality of cancer and YLLs (years of life lost with premature death) were analyzed from 1990 to 2001 in Tongan,Fujian. Results The standardized mortality (1/10 5) of cancer was 126.72. The standardized mortality of main cancers were as follows: esophageal cancer (39.12), liver cancer (36.59), gastric cancer (12.82) and lung cancer (12.60). The mortality of cancer increased gradually and lung cancer increased remarkable among main cancers. The standardized rate of female YLLs of lung cancer increased in 18.18%. The mortality of cancer will be 142.06 in 2005 predicted by the Grey Model,GM (1,1). Conclusions Liver,esophageal, lung and gastric cancer are the focal cancer for prevention and control in Tongan district,Fujian.更多还原