【摘要】 根据时间序列分析的观点,采用动态数据处理的手段,提出了一种动态系统统计预报方法.该方法把预报分为两部分,即系统的参数预报和以参数预报为基础的系统状态预报,并推导出了一组相应计算跟踪公式.实例计算表明,该方法提高了预报准确度,降低了误差.更多还原

【Abstract】 In this paper we delves into a new method of dynamic system forecast. In this paper, applying the viewpoint of the time series analysis and the mean of handing the dynamic data, we divide the forecast into two parts, that is, the parameter forecast of the system and the state forecast on the basis of the parameter forecast and give a set of the trace formulas. With the example test, we achieve the better result and increase the forecast precision greatly.更多还原