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基于贝叶斯网络的配电系统可靠性分析方法

Reliability analysis of distribution networks based on Bayesian networks

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【作者】 霍利民朱永利苏海锋

【Author】 HUO Li-min, ZHU Yong-li, SU Hai-feng(Department of Electrical Engineering, North China Electric Power University, Baoding 071003, China; The College of Machinery and Electric Engineering, Hebei Agricultural University, Baoding 071001, China)

【机构】 华北电力大学电力工程系,华北电力大学电力工程系,河北农业大学机电工程学院 河北保定071003河北农业大学机电工程学院,河北 保定071001,河北保定071003,河北 保定071001

【摘要】 提出了根据配电网的实际拓扑结构和元件对系统的影响关系直接建立贝叶斯网络以实现配电系统可靠性分析的方法。该方法的特点是不仅能进行配电网的可靠性指标评估,而且还能方便地得到系统每个元件或几个元件对整个系统可靠性的影响,从而克服了配电系统传统可靠性评估方法的不足。通过实例,阐述了应用贝叶斯网络方法进行配电系统可靠性评估的有效性和优越性。

【Abstract】 A new method to construct Bayesian networks with the topological relationship of distribution systems and influence of each component on systems is introduced for reliability analysis of distribution systems. The method permits not only computing the reliability indices of a distribution system but also presenting the effect of each component or some components on the system reliability. Thus the shortcomings of traditional reliability assessment methods are overcomed. The validity and superiority of the method are examined by some numerical examples.

  • 【文献出处】 华北电力大学学报 ,Journal of North China Electric Power University , 编辑部邮箱 ,2003年06期
  • 【分类号】TM732
  • 【被引频次】39
  • 【下载频次】503
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