【摘要】 提出了根据配电网的实际拓扑结构和元件对系统的影响关系直接建立贝叶斯网络以实现配电系统可靠性分析的方法。该方法的特点是不仅能进行配电网的可靠性指标评估,而且还能方便地得到系统每个元件或几个元件对整个系统可靠性的影响,从而克服了配电系统传统可靠性评估方法的不足。通过实例,阐述了应用贝叶斯网络方法进行配电系统可靠性评估的有效性和优越性。更多还原

【Abstract】 A new method to construct Bayesian networks with the topological relationship of distribution systems and influence of each component on systems is introduced for reliability analysis of distribution systems. The method permits not only computing the reliability indices of a distribution system but also presenting the effect of each component or some components on the system reliability. Thus the shortcomings of traditional reliability assessment methods are overcomed. The validity and superiority of the method are examined by some numerical examples.更多还原