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外商直接投资、外汇收支顺差与人民币升值压力

Foreign Direct Investment, Favorable Balance of Payment, and the Pressure of Appreciation upon Reminbi

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【作者】 王允贵

【Author】 Wang Yungui

【机构】 国家发改委对外经济研究所

【摘要】 当前人民币遭受的升值压力与外商直接投资密切相关,它从三条渠道对人民币形成升值压力,一是外汇收支贸易顺差,二是庞大的出口贸易规模,三是外汇收支资本项目顺差。从利用外资趋势看,人民币升值压力不会减弱,而且人民币小幅升值也改变不了外汇收支顺差的局面。因此,缓解人民币升值压力的政策思路要转向适度控制利用外资规模、提高利用外资质量上来。

【Abstract】 At present, the pressure of appreciation upon RMB (POAUR) is closely associated with foreign direct investment, which applies pressure in three forms: favorable trade balance in foreign exchange earnings and outlays; the large scale of export trade; and the favorable balance in capital account of foreign exchange receipt and disbursement. Viewed from the trend of using foreign fund, POAUR will not be eased off, and a small margin of appreciation of RMB will not work in changing the situation of favorable balance of foreign exchange earnings and outlays. Therefore, in making policy for lightening POAUR, our thought should turn to due control over the scale of use of foreign fund, and to improvement in the quality of use of foreign capital.

  • 【分类号】F832.6
  • 【被引频次】55
  • 【下载频次】1015
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