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基于断层相互作用理论的强震成组孕育发生初步研究

Preliminary study on strong earthquake occurred in groups based on the theory of fault interaction

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【作者】 陈化然李轶群马宏生王建国

【Author】 CHEN Hua-ran1, LI Yi-qun1,MA Hong-sheng2,WANG Jiang-guo 1(1. Seismological Bureau of Tianjin Municipality, Tianjin 300201, China; 2. Center for Analysis and Prediction, CSB, Beijing 100036, China)

【机构】 天津市地震局中国地震局分析预报中心天津市地震局 天津 300201天津 300201北京 100036天津 300201

【摘要】 应用应力触发理论原理,基于断层相互作用理论,研究了川滇地区6级以上地震的库仑破裂应力变化。初步结果表明,后续强震大多发生在前一地震所触发的应力增长区,这证明了强震之间是相互作用、相互影响的。即强震是成组孕育、成组发生的,这对强震的地点预测有一定实际意义。

【Abstract】 According to the principle of earthquake stress triggering theory, based on the principle of fault interaction, the authors studied Coulomb failure stress chang e of earthquakes with magnitude above 6 in the Southeast China area. The prelimi nary result indicates that subsequent strong earthquakes mostly occurred in the tress increasing area caused by the previous earthquakes. It proves the strong e arthquakes are interactive, that is to say, strong earthquakes are prepared and occurred in groups. It might be of practical significance in the prediction of e arthquake risk areas.

【基金】 十五"国家科技攻关项目(2001BA601B01020103);天津市科委资助项目(013013211)
  • 【分类号】P315.2
  • 【被引频次】9
  • 【下载频次】78
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