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中国西北现代气候变化事实与未来趋势展望

The Present Facts and the Future Tendency of the Climate Change in Northwest China

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【Author】 LI Dong liang 1 , WEI Li 1 , CAI Ying 1 , ZHANG Chun jie 2 , FENG Jian ying 2 ,YANG Qing 3 , YUAN Yu jiang 3 , DONG An xiang 2 (1. Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou Gansu 730000, China;2. Lanzhou Institute of Arid Meteorology, Chinese Meteorology Administration, Lanzhou Gansu 730020, China; 3. rümqi Instituteof Desert Meteorology, Chinese Meteorology Administration, rümqi Xinjiang 830002, China)

【机构】中国科学院寒区旱区环境与工程研究所；中国气象局兰州干旱气象研究所；中国气象局乌鲁木齐沙漠气象研究所；中国气象局兰州干旱气象研究所甘肃兰州730000；甘肃兰州730000；甘肃兰州730020；新疆乌鲁木齐830002；甘肃兰州730020；

【摘要】利用西北地区建站至 2 0 0 0年常规气象观测站资料及美国NCEP/NCAR再分析全球网格点资料 ,分析了西北地区现代气候变化的特点 ,揭示了西北地区气候由暖干转向暖湿的事实 .在此基础上对未来几十年气候变化趋势作了初步估计 .更多还原

【Abstract】 Based on the data observed from the meteorological stations in Northwest China for the periods from the year of beginning observation to the year of 2000 and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis monthly mean data, the characteristics of the present climate change in Northwest China have been comprehensively analyzed. The study reveals the observed evidence of the climate transition from the warm dry pattern to the warm wet pattern. And the tendency of the climate change for the future multi-decades have also been estimated in this paper.更多还原

【关键词】中国西北地区；气候变化事实；暖干；暖湿；气候转型；预测；
【Key words】 Northwest China； climate change； warm dry； warm wet； climate transition； climate prediction；

【基金】中国科学院知识创新工程重大项目 (KZCX1 10 0 6;KZCX2 3 0 1)资助

【文献出处】冰川冻土 ,Journal of Glaciology and Geocryology , 编辑部邮箱 ,2003年02期

【分类号】P467
【被引频次】449
【下载频次】1653

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