【摘要】 参照当前国内外导则给出的估算事故扩散因子的模式,推荐了一套考虑内边界层影响的估算核电站事故概率扩散因子的模式,并尝试提出了一套估算事故冲洗因子的确定论模式与概率论模式,根据我国东部某待建滨海厂址的实测气象资料,分别估算了事故概率扩散因子、事故后各时段的冲洗因子(确定论模式)、事故概率冲洗因子以及相应的各途径剂量。计算表明,①该模式估算的事故概率大气扩散因子是常用模式估算的5.9倍,②对事故后0～8h的剂量言,确定论给出的冲洗沉积外照射剂量是相应的干沉积外照射剂量的5.50倍,保守概率论给出的上述比值为9.56倍(考虑内边界层影响)和56.7倍(不考虑内边界层影响),现实概率论给出的比值为1.93倍(考虑内边界层)和11.4倍(不考虑内边界层影响)。更多还原

【Abstract】 A model to estimate the accident probabilistic dispersion factor in which the effect of internal boundary layer is considered and a set of deterministic and probabilistic models to estimate the accident washout factor are set up based on the models of accident dispersion factor given by current guides. The accident probabilistic dispersion factor, the deterministic washout factor for different time interval after accident release, the accident probabilistic washout factor and the dose corresponding to various pathway are estimated based on the measured meteorological data on the site of a coastal nuclear power plant to be built in the east part of China. The result shows that: the value of accident probabilistic dispersion factor given by the proposed model are 5.9 times of those given by the common model; for the dose obtained during 0 to 8 h after accident release, the external exposure dose from washout deposition given by deterministic model is about 5.50 times of those from dry deposition; the ratio between external exposure dose from washout and dry deposition given by conservative probabilistic model with and without considering the effect from internal boundary layer is 9.56 and 56.7 respectively; for the realistic probabilistic model the value of above ratio is 1.93 and 11.4.更多还原