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用准周期(PP)方法预测地震序列中早期强余震
Prediction of the Earlier Strong Aftershocks in the Earthquake Sequences by the Pseudo period Method
【摘要】 研究了地震序列的准周期性,提出了预测早期强余震发生时间的准周期性方法及其定量预报指标,同时进行了回溯性预报检验,R值评分为045。表明该方法具有一定的预报效能。
【Abstract】 The characteristics of the pseudo period is studied in this paper, and the pseudo period method and its quantitive prediction indexes for the time of occurence of earlier strong aftershock are proposed. The tests of regressive prediction are made, and the R value of the tests is 0.45 which means this method is effective for the prediction.
【关键词】 地震预报;
强余震;
地震序列;
准周期;
【Key words】 Earthquake prediction; Strong aftershock; Earthquake sequence; Pseudo period;
【Key words】 Earthquake prediction; Strong aftershock; Earthquake sequence; Pseudo period;
- 【文献出处】 中国地震 ,EARTHQUAKE RESEARCH IN CHINA , 编辑部邮箱 ,1998年01期
- 【分类号】P315.7
- 【被引频次】2
- 【下载频次】40