【摘要】 吸烟是一个严重的公共卫生问题，而控制吸烟是一项重要的公共卫生政策。利用经济手段控制吸烟是目前广泛采用的三大控制手段之一，该文分别利用我国城镇和农村13年的时间序列资料，采用岭回归方法，克服了资料的多重共线性，从而估计出了我国城、乡卷烟需求的价格弹性和收入弹性，表明了卷烟的一般消费品特征和吸烟的理性嗜好特征，并初步探讨了需求的变化趋势，为制定强有力的卫生经济政策提供了依据。更多还原

【Abstract】 Smoking has been a serious public health issue, and tobacco control has become an important public health policy.Economic means is one of the three most effective methods of tobacco control. This paper provides a time-series model for cigarettes in China by means of ridge regression, and estimates its price elasticity and income elasticity. It show that cigarette is one of the general consumption goods, and smoking is a rational addiction. It also describes a trend of demand for cigarettes. These provide policy makers with a basis for making decision of smoking control by economic means.更多还原