【摘要】 研究了飞机在多发动能弹丸作用下的毁伤过程，根据其过程特点把此过程模拟为马尔科夫过程．首先把飞机分成不同的存在状态，然后根据部件的抗毁伤能力及呈现面积，得出飞机由一种状态向另一种状态转移的概率，进而得出此过程的转移矩阵，最后，由此转移矩阵及飞机的初始状态，计算出飞机在不同数目弹丸命中条件下的毁伤概率．更多还原

【Abstract】 The aircraft damage process in the effect of multiple kinetic projectiles is studied in the paper. According to the process characteristic, it can be modeled as a Markov process. Firstly, the aircraft’s existence states are classified. Secondly, the transition probability from one state to another is obtained in the light of the ant damage capability and apearance area of critical component. And then the transition matrix of this process is gained. Finally, using the transition matrix and the initial state of the aircraft, the damage probability of the aircraft is calculated in the condition of multiple hits.更多还原