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地震危险度D值在华北中强以上地震前的中期异常变化
THE MEDIUM TERM ANOMALY VARIATION OF SEISMIC RISK DEGREE D VALUE BEFORE MODERATE STRONG EARTHQUAKES IN NORTH CHINA
【摘要】 用1972~1992年期间华北地区地震资料对地震危险度D值进行了空间扫描.结果表明,大部分中强以上地震前2~3a,在未来震中周围出现较大范围的D值中期异常区域.文中就D值用于中期预报的方法、预报效能、D值与实际地震活动的关系、计算结果的稳定性等问题进行了讨论
【Abstract】 The seismic data from 1972 to 1992 in North China are used in spacial scanning of seismic risk degree D value in this paper.The result shows that there are large anomaly zones of D value around the future epicenter about 3 years before most moderate strong earthquakes.In this paper,the method using D value in medium term earthquake prediction,prediction ability,the relation of D value to real seismicity and the stability of computation are also discussed.
【关键词】 华北;
中期异常;
地震预报;
地震危险度D值;
空间扫描;
【Key words】 North China; Medium term anomaly; Earthquake prediction; Seismic risk degree D value; Spatial scanning;
【Key words】 North China; Medium term anomaly; Earthquake prediction; Seismic risk degree D value; Spatial scanning;
- 【文献出处】 西北地震学报 ,NORTHWESTERN SEISMOLOGICAL JOURNAL , 编辑部邮箱 ,1997年02期
- 【分类号】P315.7
- 【被引频次】4
- 【下载频次】47