【摘要】 常用的溢油预测方法有经验公式模式和全动力溢油漂移模式。以往工作中，全动力模式仅用于油膜未靠岸的情形。本文探讨了全动力溢油漂移数值模式在近岸溢油漂移预测中的应用，初步探讨了油膜靠岸后相应的边界处理方式和质量守恒控制方法。以渤海湾大港油田溢油为例，进行了数值试验，预测了油膜在风和海流共同作用下漂移的路径、距离和油膜影响的海域和海岸带范围。证明了油膜靠岸后全动力溢油漂移数值模式进行溢油漂移预测的可行性。更多还原

【Abstract】 The conventional methods of the prediction of spill oil at sea have the empirical and dynamicla driftinn models.The dynamical model has been only appliedfor the conditon while the slick was not pushed to shore inthe past study.The application for the prediction of spill oil drift by the dynamical model inshore and the processing method in boundary and the control method in the mass conservation were studied while the slick was pulled to shore.A numerical experiment was carried out to take a spill ol of Daqing field in Bohai gulf as an example.The prediction of the drift path ,distance and impact of the slick on the range in the coast zone was performed.The feasibility for the preddiction ofthe drift of the slick by the dynamical model was demostrated while the slick was pulled to shore.更多还原